Richard Thaler now leads with a 31% chance of winning, Robert Schiller in on 30%, Martin Weitzman is on 24% and Oliver Hart has a 20% chance of winning.
Does Robert Barro really have only a 1% chance of winning? There could be some money to be made there.
Eric Crampton has the economics department picks for the prize here. Not that I would trust any of them!
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